The Future of Truck Driving: Adaptation and Employment Opportunities in the Age of Autonomous Trucks

Introduction

Self-driving trucks, a term that encompasses a vast range of capabilities from partial automation to full autonomy, will revolutionize the trucking industry. However, the transition to a 100% autonomous fleet won’t happen overnight. This article explores the inevitable shift truck drivers will face and the opportunities that await them.

The Transition to Autonomous Trucks

As we move towards a future where autonomous trucks become commonplace, it’s important to understand the gradual nature of this transition. While fully autonomous trucks without any human presence may seem far off, there will still be roles for manual truck drivers for the next few decades. Even in 2040, the grandchildren of today’s millennials are likely to still find employment behind the wheel of trucks hauling regular cargo.

However, the situation for trucks transporting hazardous materials (hazmat) is quite different. Government regulations and public safety concerns will likely prevent hazmat trucks from becoming fully autonomous in the foreseeable future.

Role Transition for Truck Drivers

As the trucking industry shifts towards more automation, drivers can expect to transition into new roles. They can become CMV (Commercial Motor Vehicle) attendees, also known as riders, who monitor the truck and intervene in emergencies.

CMV attendance is a gradual transition that will involve a reduction in driving responsibilities and an increase in monitoring tasks. This shift is likely to result in a gradual decrease in pay for standard cargo attendees, as their role transforms from active drivers to passive attendees.

For drivers interested in more prestige and higher pay, becoming a certified hazmat CMV attendee is a viable option. These individuals will need to maintain the necessary skills to take over driving during emergencies, making this position more specialized and highly sought after.

Scenario: Fast-Track Autonomous Trucks

For the sake of discussion, imagine a truck manufacturing company positioned to roll out fully autonomous trucks in 2024. If such a truck were to be deployed, it would indeed present a significant challenge to the industry. Fully autonomous trucks would require a legal framework to address liability in case of accidents. As a result, manufacturers would be the entities most likely to face litigation, given that they are responsible for the truck’s safety and performance.

The manufacturer would likely lobby for laws requiring CMV attendees, recognizing the need to ensure public safety. Additionally, this company could secure a monopoly on the trucking industry if driving were made illegal. Such a move could have devastating consequences on the entire economy, making legal and financial issues with this kind of vehicle a major concern.

Phased-Out Fleet and New Opportunities

While the transition to autonomous trucks is gradual, there is also an opportunity for experienced drivers to adapt and thrive. Many trucking companies rely on owner-operators, a model that could offer an escape from traditional employment.

If a law were to outlaw owner-operated trucks, driver-owned autonomous trucks could still be an option. This would require an investment and a shift in business strategy, but it would allow drivers to maintain control over their operations and continue their careers.

Conclusion

As the trucking industry evolves towards more autonomous vehicles, truck drivers will need to adapt and find new roles. CMV attendance is a natural path for most, but for those willing to invest, operating autonomous trucks as owners may offer a lucrative future. The transition will be gradual, and while it presents challenges, it also opens new avenues for those who are prepared to change with the times.