NBA Coaches Finally Realize: Why The Mid-Range 2-Pointer Is a Poor Shot

For a long time, NBA coaches and players believed that the mid-range 2-pointer was a valuable shot. However, it has only been with the advent of advanced analytics and the work of data scientists that we have seen a shift in this understanding.

Introduction of the 3-Point Line

The 3-point line was first introduced to the NBA in 1979, but at that time, basketball lacked the sophisticated analytics and data analysis that we see today. Without these tools, teams would have used the 3-point shot much more sparingly than they do today.

Michael Jordan and the Hero-Ball Style of Play

During the era of Michael Jordan, the NBA was dominated by hero-ball style of play, with superstars like Jordan dominating games. Teams did occasionally use the 3-point shot, but not to the extent we see in modern basketball. The importance of the 3-point shot was somewhat overlooked during this period.

Hakeem Olajuwon, Shaquille O'Neal and the Rise of Post Play

During the era of Hakeem Olajuwon and Shaquille O'Neal, the NBA began to appreciate the power of post play. Centers and power forwards were often the primary point of attack. Teams would wait for the center to dominate the post and then kick the ball out for a 3-point attempt. This shift began to change the way teams valued and used the 3-point shot.

The Rise of Analytics and Data Science

The true revolution in NBA shot selection and strategy occurred in the 2010s. With the advent of advanced analytics and the work of data scientists, teams began to understand the value of the 3-point shot in a more precise and data-driven manner.

Key Trends:

Corner 3s became highly valued. Teams sought out 3-point shooters. Players in the post positions (centers and power forwards) started learning 3-point skills. Shooting coaches began to play a more significant role in team development. The concept of pace and space was popularized, emphasizing the importance of open shooting opportunities.

Rockets and Analytics

Perhaps the most notable example of this evolution is the Houston Rockets, one of the most successful teams in the 21st century. The Rockets' front office, led by GM Daryl Morey, and head coach Mike D’Antoni have been pioneers in the use and promotion of advanced analytics. Teams like the Warriors have also integrated similar approaches, further revolutionizing the game.

Future Trends with the 4-Point Line

The introduction of a 4-point line is just the beginning of a new era in NBA basketball. This concept, which is being explored by some innovative teams, aims to further emphasize the importance of accurate and efficient shooting. It's clear that basketball is evolving, and the insights provided by data scientists will continue to shape the strategies and approaches used by NBA teams.

To gain a deeper understanding of the role of analytics and data science in modern NBA, you can read more about these trends and their impact on the game. Stay tuned for further developments as the NBA continues to embrace these innovative changes.