Boris Johnson and the Misconceptions Surrounding Brexit

Recent reports and claims have emerged suggesting that Boris Johnson or his associates are attempting to find ways to avoid formally asking the EU27 for an extension to Article 50. This has led to interesting proposals, some of which have been described as bizarre and others even deranged. The core of these discussions revolves around the idea of members of the EU27 'voting against' the extension in a manner that would somehow bypass Johnson's need to make an official request. However, the simplicity of ruling out such attempts by having all members 'vote for' the extension means these schemes seem to lack substance.

Understanding the P/Shox and the Fixed Term Parliament Act

Boris Johnson appears to believe that after Brexit, he has a Plan B to get around the official route. One such exit strategy is the suggestion that he might call for a general election to extend his political power. While this approach is tempting for Johnson, it is not without restrictions. The Fixed Term Parliament Act of 2011 stipulates that a general election can only be called under specific conditions, such as a motion of no confidence in the government or a vote of two-thirds majority in Parliament to dissolve it. Thus, even if Johnson intends to pack his bags and leave the UK, the reality is that he will need the support of Parliament to make this happen.

Johnson’s Likelihood to Leave and Other Options

The speculation around Boris Johnson packing his bags and leaving the UK after Brexit is rooted in a misunderstanding of both his political situation and the legal structure surrounding his tenure. It is important to clarify that while Johnson may hold strong opinions and desires, the process of leaving the UK is not as straightforward as simply packing and departing. Instead, he is more likely to pursue a political maneuver such as calling for a general election under the Fixed Term Parliament Act, provided he can receive the necessary support.

The act includes provisions for dissolution of the current term of Parliament, which Johnson could use to seek a new mandate. However, this process is highly speculative and would depend on political realities. Even if a general election is called, the outcome is far from guaranteed, and Johnson could face other political challenges, such as losing the election or facing a parliamentary motion of no confidence.

Conclusion

In summary, the narrative about Boris Johnson ‘packing his bags’ and leaving the UK after Brexit seems more like a distractive tactic than a realistic plan. The Fixed Term Parliament Act and the political landscape in the UK mean that any move by Johnson would need to be legally and politically justified. The Central issue revolves around the understanding of the political and legal frameworks governing Brexit and parliamentary processes. Johnson can call for a general election, but this too would require the backing of Parliament and the electorate. It is clear that any attempts to skirt official procedures and legal requirements would not stand the scrutiny of a democratic system.