Addressing the Uncertainty: Will Boris Johnsons Brexit Deal Ultimately Become Law?

Will Boris Johnson's Brexit Deal Eventually Become Law?

Will Boris Johnson Become a Churchillian Saviour?

When it comes to Boris Johnson's vision of a new future after Brexit, many are skeptical. While the idea of a second-hand car might have a chance, a trade deal seems less likely. According to some critics, it appears that Johnson is trying to leave the European Union without a deal, painting himself as a modern-day Churchillian savior amidst dire circumstances. However, when one examines the situation, this portrayal appears more as self-serving and manipulative than inspiring.

The Reality of Trade Deals and Breach of Agreements

Further complicating matters, the actual Brexit deal has yet to be negotiated. What we have is a political landscape where Boris Johnson has boxed himself into a corner. Despite his rhetoric about negotiating with other countries, the reality is bleaker. With the current terms of the Withdrawal Agreement, everything will be voided by December, leaving us on WTO terms.

It is crucial to understand that the actual negotiations on our future relationship with the EU have yet to commence. To date, all that has been voted on is a withdrawal agreement, not a comprehensive Brexit deal. A formal Brexit deal would only begin if the withdrawal agreement is accepted, and even then, it is likely to take a decade or more to finalize.

Legislative and Political Challenges

Indeed, the road to a successful Brexit deal is fraught with numerous challenges. Johnson's recent defeats in the House of Lords on the Brexit withdrawal agreement bill highlight the uncertainties surrounding the process. The defeats on the role of the judiciary and the Home Office using documented printed proof of settled status demonstrate the need for governance that respects the rule of law.

Furthermore, legislative consent motions in the devolved parliaments and assemblies are pivotal in enabling the UK government to implement the Brexit withdrawal agreement in Scotland, Northern Ireland, and Wales. The Scottish parliament has already voted to withhold consent, while the Welsh assembly is likely to follow suit, and even the Northern Ireland assembly has unanimously withheld consent, making the implementation of the withdrawal agreement even more uncertain.

Adding to the complexity, the European Parliament still needs to ratify the withdrawal agreement, adding another layer of uncertainty.

Beyond Brexit Deal: Prospects and Proposals

In this turbulent landscape, it is becoming increasingly apparent that more than just a Brexit deal is required. A change in government is likely to bring about the necessary shifts in policy and legislation needed to move forward. Until a new government takes the reins, the prospects for a successful Brexit deal are dimmed.

According to Jane Mummery MEP, who was present at the European Parliament Fisheries Committee, the question now is who will hold the people accountable while they still control Britain's waters but the UK has no representation. This stark reality underscores the complexity of the situation and the urgent need for a reformulated strategy.

Conclusion

The prospects for Boris Johnson's Brexit deal becoming law are uncertain. With ongoing negotiations and legislative hurdles, it is clear that the path forward is fraught with challenges. Until the UK finds a leader who is willing and able to navigate these complexities, the realization of a successful Brexit deal will likely remain elusive.